Geopolitical Risk

What indicators signal alerts followed by the market’s reaction

Small Caps Cracked

Today’s Chart of the NASDAQ reflects the August highs not being exceeded by the composite index supporting our newsletter commentary: “August 22, 2018, the Nasdaq futures are on an L-T rule #4, signaling the expectation for the monthly high to low range to expand. The current average range over the last seven months is 560 full points. If the range expands as expected to exceed this...

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Is the true source of alpha moving between short and long volatility exposure?

ContraryThinker is warning its professional following since January 18, 2018, of the topping process with 28% plus bear market risk that will unfold over the next two years. Our most recent subject line read, “The rational market cycle from bottom to top moves from bargain buying to value buying to growth buying to momentum buying into panic buying and now lack of liquidity with the arrogant...

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Geopolitical Security threats will precipitate financial distress

Geopolitical Security threats will precipitate financial distress January 18, 2018 Can 2018 possibly match Wall Street’s perfect 2017 It doesn’t get better than this: Encouraged by the surprise electoral victory of President Donald Trump and his aggressive push for tax cuts and deregulation, the U.S. stock market ended the first ever “perfect year.” That is one in which all 12 months featured...

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